加路连山道商地 估值达248亿

下季将推出 楼面呎价约2.3万元

发展局公布新一季卖地计划中，铜锣湾加路连山道商业地可建楼面高达107.6万平方呎，属区内难得大型商业地供应，业界估值高见248亿元，每呎楼面地价约2.3万元。有业界人士认为，疫情冲击商厦市道，财团料保守，故有可能流标收场。

发展局局长黄伟纶公布本财政年度第四季 (2021年1至3月) 卖地计划，铜锣湾加路连山道为唯一商业地，该地盘面积约15.9万平方呎，按地积比6.8倍计，可建总楼面约107.6万平方呎，属具规模商业项目。

疫情冲击 有测量师忧流标

翻查资料，规划署早于10多年提出将铜锣湾前机电工程署旧总部、邮政体育会、电讯盈科康乐会及前民安队大楼等组成的大型用地改划，拟分为南、北两幅地皮发展。其中北面地盘便是今次的加路连山道地皮。据分区大纲图显示，该地建筑物高限将获放宽至主水平基準以上135米，计划可兴建两幢28至35层高商厦，其中一幢可远望维多利亚公园一带景致。

位置上，该地皮邻近希慎 (00014) 旗下利园商厦王国，包括写字楼、商场等，而现时利园写字楼出租情况理想，呎租约60至70元。据测量师行估计，该地皮价值约113亿至248亿元，每呎楼面地价估值约1.05万至2.3万元。

不过，今年受疫情冲击，商厦市道甚淡静，甲厦空置率明显上升，租金下跌。另一测量师称，担心铜锣湾加路连山地皮会流标，认为现时商业环境不适合推出，估计同区持有商业项目的发展商有兴趣竞投，但出价未必太高。

(经济日报)

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文辉道再推地 呎价估逾5万

整体供应达标 下季推3住宅地涉2240伙

政府锐意加土地供应，新一季计划可有4,805伙新供应，连同首3季，年度供应约12,870伙，扭转连续供应不达标的劣势。而政府下季将推出的地皮中，包括山顶文辉道豪宅地，市场估值楼面呎价逾5.2万元，有望缔造新地王。

政府昨日公布下季卖地计划，并将会推出3幅住宅地皮，涉及2,240伙，较上一季的630伙，大幅上升约2.6倍。3幅住宅地分布于山顶文辉道 (135伙)、啟德跑道地 (775伙) 及古洞北新发展区 (1,330伙) 。若连黄竹坑站第6期项目 (750伙) 及旧楼重建 (1,815伙) 全季共有4,805伙，按季上升约39%，并属于今个财政年度最高。而连同首3季的土地供应，2020/21年度的土地供应为12,870伙，距离目标1.29万伙仅仅30伙，接近达标。

今个财年 土地供应12870伙

除了大力增加供应外，新推地皮包括山顶文辉道9及11号地皮，可建楼面约14.7万平方呎，投资总额相对上周推出文运道2至8号为细，市场估值约66.3亿至76.6亿元，最高楼面呎价5.2万元，有望超越上周双数号楼面呎价4.63万元，缔造地王新纪录。

对于供应量距离目标尚餘30伙，发展局局长黄伟纶表示，需视乎下季需要改契的项目数量，才知道能否达标，又指今年市建局项目没有供应，期望下年供应会增加。

而对于供应数目相对较少，他指政府不会评论推地会否对楼价造成影响，又解释之前的私人住宅土地供应较现时高很多，因以往总需求较高，更重要是公私营房屋比例由六四比改为七三比，并承认虽然这对私营房屋供应有影响，但认为现时公营房屋的需求更迫切。

未来几年 铁路供应处真空

另外，团结香港基金土地及房屋研究主管叶文祺指，下季出售黄竹坑站第6期项目后，港铁 (00066) 的土地储备已所剩无几，料未来几年铁路上盖地皮供应可能处于一个真空状态。他亦相信，是次推出的古洞北地皮会对日后新发展区的地价有指标作用。

市场人士称，自2018/19年卖地计划的1.8万伙目标后，本财年逐步回落至1.29万伙的目标，而2018/19至2020/21年间的卖地计划中，估计可兴建的单位数目合共只有约39,600个，较前3年 (2015/16年至2017/18年) 约65,510个大减近4成。但是，他相信短期私楼供应未会有显著增长，故这对未来楼市有支持。

(经济日报)

屯门250万呎工商楼面 改划发展

屯门的基建设施陆续落成，加速投资者的重建步伐，区内现有12宗工厦重建或改装的申请，涉及约250万平方呎的工商业楼面，单计「铺王」邓成波持有的4宗申请，已提供近百万平方呎的楼面。

屯门的跨境基建交通相继落成，其中屯门至赤鱲角连接路刚于周日通车，令区内以至往返内地的交通更便捷，或会增加发展商投资及重建工厦的意慾，而邻近西铁屯门站的第9区，及杯渡路以南的第12区，近年吸引不少发展商及投资者买入工厦，并重建为其他用途。

铺王持4项 酒店面积佔6成

11月公布的《施政报告》提及，发展局会推行「标準金额」徵收补价先导计划，市场料可以加快工厦重建步伐。而资深投资者「铺王」邓成波为区内最积极参与重建者之一，他在区内拥有4个工厦项目，合共约98.56万平方呎，其中最具规模为东亚纱厂工业大厦。项目现为15层高的工厦，并已申请改装及加高两层，拟发展为酒店、办公室、商店及服务行业等，提供约943个酒店客房，涉及发展楼面面积约46.64万平方呎，当中酒店楼面佔逾6成。

另外，位于建丰街4号，前身为有成工业大厦，已获批准改建成酒店、办公室及商店等用途。项目楼面面积约22.99万平方呎，目前为悦品度假酒店。而邓成波旗下位于新合里1号及3号的钧善工厂大厦及爱善中心，前者早年获批改装为1幢楼高约10层的写字楼，用作写字楼、商店、服务、私人会所及食肆等用途，而后者则改装为1幢28层高的商厦，涉及楼面约28.93万平方呎，不过两者最终获发展商命名为滙贤一号，并分拆出售。

英皇两工厦合併重建

另一边厢，英皇国际 (00163) 旗下位于新安街15号的山龄工业大厦，原先申请全幢改装作食肆及商店，楼面面积约5.6万平方呎。不过，在政府最新的工厦活化政策下，发展商改为将连同旁边的宝泰工业大厦一併重建，期望获得额外增加约3.8万平方呎楼面，并计划兴建成1幢22层高工厦，涉及总楼面面积约22.8万平方呎，估计最快于2024至2025年落成。

(经济日报)

黄竹坑站5期突招标每呎补价1.01万跌4%批出补地价64亿料组财团减风险

受疫情升温影响，近期楼市淡静，港铁黄竹坑站五期于上周二截收意向书，昨日突击推出招标，该项目补地价逾64.37亿，每方呎约10119元，较去年批出的黄竹坑站4期项目补价略低4%，受到疫情肆虐，料发展商将组成财团入标以减低投资风险。

黄竹坑站五期上周截收37份意向书，数量为港铁项目第三高纪录，港铁于昨日推出招标。消息人士指，项目补地价逾64.37亿，以可建楼面逾63152方呎计，每方呎补价为10119元，较去年9月批出的4期呎价10576元，略低于4%，惟仍然是黄竹坑站各期中排第三位。

4期去年补价每呎1.05万

据了解，是次招标条款，除补地价及固定分红比例约25%外，并须以价高者得的「一口价」决定胜负，该项目将于下月26日截标，提供2座住宅大楼，不多于1050伙，平均每个单位面积605方呎，较第4期的约800方呎的面积为小，是现时已推出的1期至5期当中，平均单位面积最细的一期。

「一口价」决定胜负

有测量师指，港铁沿綫项目具其吸引力，加上不少发展商于区内拥有项目，具一定发展经验，亦因具协同效应，吸引发展商竞投发展。该项目规模大，不排除发展商以合组财团或中港合资参与发展，惟受疫情影响，料发展商出价会较保守，料每方呎地价介乎1.6万至1.8元，项目估值介乎110亿至123亿。

落成后料呎价2.5万

另一测量师指出，是次补价低于去年的第4期，反应疫情影响，第5期预计连同补地价和分红等因素，每方呎楼面地价可达1.6万。以总楼面计算，估值约101亿，落成后每方呎料可卖2.5万。

共收37份意向书

测量师表示，受第4波疫情影响，近期市况向下，黄竹坑站5期补地价较第4期低约4.4%，补地价金额跟随市况调整。政府推地步伐放慢，铁路沿綫优质地段罕有。项目邻近港铁黄竹坑站，坐享南港岛綫之便，周边配套齐全。近日疫情虽然持续，未有影响发展商持续买地投资的决心，料项目落成后以中型单位为主，连同补地价每呎楼面地价约16000元，地价约101.8亿。

是次第5期共收37份意向书，参与的发展商包括长实、新地、恒地、信置、会德丰、南丰、华懋、英皇国际、其士、爪哇、远东及帝国集团等；中资则有碧桂园、旭辉集团、中国金茂控股等。而过往，港铁推出的黄竹坑站上盖发展项目，收到标书由，以2017年1月招收意向书的第1期 (后由路劲基建及平保投得项目)，收到最多意向书，当时共收到39份。

黄竹坑站对上一期项目为4期，于去年10月，由嘉里、信和、伙拍太古地产合组财团，力压其餘5家财团投得，第4期每方呎补地价10587元，採用固定分红比例25%，与第5期一样，财团的最高「一口价」，成为夺地关键。

(星岛日报)

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美政府沽寿山村道屋地造价逾25亿瞩目

虽然今年整体豪宅成交量，较去年有所下滑，但市场仍不乏大额成交，其中，以恒隆斥25.66亿，购入南区寿山村道37号屋地，最为瞩目。

受疫情影响下，今年豪宅屋地亦不乏大额交投，其中，恒隆于9月斥25.66亿，夺得原由美国政府持有的寿山村道37号屋地，以可建楼面约4.7万方呎计，每呎楼面地价5.4万，相隔20年后，再夺本港地皮。

购得地皮后，发展商将重建成多幢独立大屋，将于2024年落成，料投资额约40亿。但是次成交呎价，相较两年前华润置地以楼面呎价约8.6万，涉资约59亿购入毗邻的寿山村道39号地皮，低约37%，但目前豪宅市况难以与当时相提并论，始终去年出现反修例政治事件，加上疫情夹击，本港经济情况转差，内地豪客几近绝迹，不少豪宅新盘急煞停推，价格难免受压。

山顶道地皮逾33亿易手

另外，今年8月时，由中渝置地主席张松桥持有的山顶道75号项目，即前何东花园地皮，其一半地盘以逾33.88亿易手。

据土地註册处资料显示，乡郊建屋地段第670号A分段、即山顶道75号项目其中一半地盘，获买家GOLDEN MARKET DEVELOPMENTS LTD于8月时购入，属一家海外註册公司，买家于同一日签署及完成买卖合约，市场料有机会属内部转让。此外，由于买家以公司名义购入，须缴付达楼价共30%的双辣税，涉及税款逾10亿。

(星岛日报)

37 chase Wong Chuk Hang MTR package

MTR Corp (0066) has received 37 expressions of interest for its Wong Chuk Hang station package five property development and opened tenders starting from Tuesday.

The land premium was HK$10,119 per sq ft, 4.4 percent lower than the last batch, with the figure for the project reaching HK$6.431 billion.

The tender closes at 2 pm on January 26.

The project situated on Aberdeen Inland Lot No 467 has a maximum residential gross floor area of nearly 636,152 square feet, providing not more than 1,050 residential units.

The news came as average home prices fell to the lowest in seven months in November, while home prices are expected to fall by 1 percent, the first drop in 11 years.

The private domestic price index fell by 0.18 percent month on month, or 1.27 percent year on year, to 380.4, data from the Rating and Valuation Department showed.For January to November, the official home price index rose 0.32 percent.

The private domestic rental index inched up by 0.06 percent month on month to 178.6 last month, which is still 6.39 percent lower than a year ago.

For 11-month period, the rental index dropped by 5.85 percent.

Kerry Properties (0683) is set to launch two luxury units in Mont Rouge in Beacon Hill for sale by tender on Saturday. The tender ends in March.

The two three-room units have an area of 1,760 and 1,699 sq ft, according to the sales document.

(The Standard)

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Race looms as tender is set for top sites

The SAR government will offer for tender a commercial site in Causeway Bay with a gross floor area of 1.07 million square feet, as well as three residential plots, to accommodate 2,240 units in total during the first quarter of next year.

The plot at Caroline Hill Road in Causeway Bay, which was rezoned after serving as the Electrical and Mechanical Services Department's former headquarters, covers an area of 159,305 sq ft and provides a total gross floor area of 1,076,391 sq ft.

A property consultancy valued the site at HK$14 billion, or HK$13,000 per buildable sq ft.

The site is near the Leighton Centre office building and Hysan Place and Lee Gardens shopping malls, all of which are developed by Hysan Development, the biggest landlord in Causeway Bay.

The other three residential sites are Kai Tak Area 4E Site 2, one in Fan Ling's Kwu Tung in New Territories and one that comprises 9 and 11 Mansfield Road on The Peak.

Kai Tak Area 4E Site 2, which sits on the runway of the former airport, measures approximately 117,900 square feet. With a plot ratio of 5.5, the site has a total floor area of approximately 648,450 sq ft.

The seafront site, which neighbors Metro Park and Kai Tak Cruise Terminal, offers a panoramic view of Victoria Harbour. Surveyors has valued the site at HK$9.73 billion, or HK$15,000 per buildable sq ft. The site on 9 and 11 Mansfield Road on The Peak measures 54,541 sq ft, with a gross floor area of 145,652 sq ft. Surveyors has valued the site at HK$6.7 billion, or HK$46,000 per buildable sq ft.

Wharf won the tender for the plot occupying 2, 4, 6 and 8 Mansfield Road for HK$12 billion, or HK$46,272 per buildable square foot, last week, with the per square foot price hitting a new high for a residential site in Hong Kong and beating market expectations.

The government had offered to sell the plot, which occupies 2, 4, 6, 8, 9, and 11 Mansfield Road, in 2018, but the tender was canceled after bidders failed to meet its reserve price.

Meanwhile, surveyors values the Kwu Tung North site, which covers a total area of 200,210 sq ft with a gross floor area of 1.2 million sq ft, at HK$6 billion, or HK$5,000 per buildable sq ft.

In addition, MTR Corp (0066) plans to sell by tender next quarter Package 6 of the Wong Chuk Hang Station project, which will produce about 750 units.

Taking all sources of private housing land supply into account, the total supply next quarter will be about 4,800 units.

(The Standard)

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Hong Kong poised for first annual decline in home prices in 12 years as coronavirus deepens recession, adds to unemployment woes

The fourth wave of Covid-19 infections is likely to tilt the market into negative territory in December after home prices slipped again last month

Analysts predict house prices will drop by as much as 5 per cent next year

Hong Kong looks likely to record its first annual drop in home prices for 12 years as a fourth wave of coronavirus infections threatens to worsen the city’s recession and unemployment problem.

The official price index for used homes slipped 0.2 per cent to 380.4 in November, the lowest level in seven months, according to an earlier-than-expected release from the Rating and Valuation Department on Tuesday.

November’s index is 1.3 per cent lower than it was a year ago, and although it is 0.2 per cent higher than it was in January, analysts believe the full impact of the current spike in Covid-19 cases will show up in this month’s data.

“Including December, home prices should drop about 1 per cent for the whole year,” property agent said. “This would be the first drop in 12 years, because of the rally of 11 years from 2009 to 2019.”

The slide could be attributed to the coronavirus pandemic, which has led the city into its deepest recession and highest unemployment level in decades, the agent said.

“The impact of the fourth wave will be fully reflected in December, when the drop will widen to about 1 per cent,” the agent said. Home prices in January and February “will be relatively downbeat because turnover is downbeat in the new year traditionally, coupled with the [impact of] social-distancing measures”.

Home prices will be down 5.4 per cent at the end of the year, compared to their peak of 396.9 in May 2019, the agent added.

The outlook for Hong Kong’s famously pricey housing market is not good for 2021 either, according to most forecasts.

Prices in the non-luxury “mass market” will drop by as much as 5 per cent next year, according to another property agent, though the fall will stabilise by the second half. Another property agent sees prices in the luxury residential segment falling by about the same amount.

“If the local economy further contracts in 2021, this may directly impact on the employment level and hence purchasing power of homebuyers,” agent said. “The containment of Covid will also impact short-term purchase sentiment in the market, as reflected in the previous falls in transaction volume whenever a new wave of Covid emerged.”

The total value of pre-sold new homes in the coming six to nine months is likely to be lower, according to a analyst.

“When people are cautious about the general economic outlook, and investment demand is weak, the luxury market’s residential prices and volumes are likely to be more affected and see higher volatility in the near term,” analyst said. “Wider discounts are already observed.”

Launches of new developments have been frequently delayed during the pandemic amid slow government approvals, unfavourable market sentiment, and difficulties in making sales arrangements.

Only about 13,000 units were launched in 2020, far less than the average range of 18,000 to 20,000 units recorded previously, according to developer K Wah International.

But Tony Wan, director of sales and marketing for Hong Kong property at K Wah, struck an optimistic note, predicting that transaction volumes will bounce back to pre-pandemic levels and prices will see a single-digit percentage growth.

Wan expects the number of new units to go on sale in 2021 to be around 30,000, mainly in developments located in strategic locations or above MTR stations, such as those at Kai Tak, Wong Chuk Hang and Lohas Park.